Sunday, December 3, 2023

2023 Season Breakdown: The UCI Workforce Scores

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2023 Groups Breakdown: Now that the 2023 season is over, Spencer Martin breaks down the UCI Workforce Scores. What the overall UCI Workforce level scores let us know about which outfits over, and below, played all over the 2023 season and what that would possibly let us know for 2024.

– This newsletter is an excerpt from the Past the Peloton e-newsletter. Join right here for complete get right of entry to. –

  • Spencer Martin might be doing an in-depth breakdown of the 2024 Excursion de France course quickly.
  • vuelta23 st21
    Jumbo-Visma domination

    With the Excursion of Guangxi completing ultimate week and staining the tip of the 2023 WorldTour racing calendar, I’ve been reflecting at the traits we noticed emerge up to now season and making plans out the BTP low season content material. To kick off this mirrored image and re-evaluation, I sought after to step again and take inventory of ways every staff stacked up with regards to the UCI level scores.

    Under are the highest 23 groups (18 1st department + 4 PT) so as of the UCI facets they won from their best 20 point-scoring riders all the way through the 2023 season (aka the UCI level scores). Here’s a hyperlink to an in-depth scoring information, however the easy rule is that the nearer your staff’s riders get to 1st position, and the larger the race, the extra facets your staff will get.

    vuelta23 st12
    UAE Workforce Emirates took the UCI facets

    2023 Season Most sensible 23 Workforce UCI Level Scores
    teams 2023

    Particularly, Workforce UAE Emirates, after a shockingly targeted points-scoring marketing campaign, crowned Jumbo-Visma to take the highest spot within the UCI scores for the primary time, with Soudal-QuickStep, after a couple of down seasons, shrugged off reputedly consistent off-road distractions and fiscal problems to bag an outstanding 3rd position.

    After we check out the win standings, Jumbo-Visma’s standing as the game’s best possible staff begins to emerge, whilst UAE finishes a robust moment over Soudal-QuickStep, who, after profitable ten instantly win titles from 2012-2021, fails to win however is available in 3rd neatly forward of Ineos, who, in spite of a large finances, continues to fight to win at a fee upper than groups with a lot tighter payrolls like Alpecin and Lidl.

    tdf23 st21
    Jumbo-Visma took extra wins

    2023 Wins, Podiums & Most sensible Tens according to WorldTour Groups
    teams 2023

    Under we will see how my pre-season BTP NET projection fashion stacked up towards the post-season UCI Workforce Level Scores, and which groups over and under-performed their points-based projections.

    Ultimate UCI Level WorldTour Score Positions In comparison to Thier 2023 Workforce BTP NET Projections:
    1) UAE-Workforce Emirates (BTP NET: 1)
    2) Workforce Jumbo-Visma (BTP NET: 2)
    3) Fast-Step Alpha Vinyl (BTP NET: 5)
    4) INEOS Grenadiers (BTP NET: 3)
    5) Lidl-Trek (BTP NET: 11)
    6) Bahrain – Victorious (BTP NET: 8)
    7) Groupama – FDJ (BTP NET: 7)
    8) Alpecin-Deceuninck (BTP NET: 6)
    9) Lotto-Dtsy (BTP NET: 18)
    10) Bora-Hansgrohe (BTP NET: 4)
    11) EF-Schooling First (BTP NET: 13)
    12) Movistar Workforce (BTP NET: 12)
    13) Jayco-Alula (BTP NET: 17)
    14) Cofidis (BTP NET: 9)
    15) Intermarché-Wanty (BTP NET: 14)
    16) Israel-Premier Tech (BTP NET: 19)
    17) DSM-Firmenich (BTP NET: 20)
    18) AG2R Citroën (BTP NET: 15)
    19) Arkéa-Samsic (BTP NET: 10)
    20) Astana (BTP NET: 22)
    21) Uno-X (BTP NET: 21)
    22) TotalEnergies (BTP NET: 16)

    Who Underneath & Over Carried out Their 2023 BTP NET Score:
    Lotto-Dtsy (+9)
    Lidl-Trek (+6)
    Jayco-Alula (+4)
    Israel-Premier Tech (+3)
    DSM-Firmenich (+3)
    Fast-Step Alpha Vinyl (+2)
    Bahrain – Victorious (+2)
    EF-Schooling First (+2)
    Astana (+2)
    Movistar Workforce (0)
    UAE-Workforce Emirates (0)
    Workforce Jumbo-Visma (0)
    Groupama – FDJ (0)
    Uno-X (0)
    INEOS Grenadiers (-1)
    Intermarché-Wanty (-1)
    Alpecin-Deceuninck (-2)
    AG2R Citroën (-3)
    Cofidis (-5)
    Bora-Hansgrohe (-6)
    TotalEnergies (-6)
    Arkéa-Samsic (-9)

    tdf23st15
    Who’s the simpler staff?

    4 Key Takeaways:

    1) UAE can have gained the standings, however Jumbo-Visma is the game’s best possible staff

    • In spite of completing atop the UCI facets standings (thank you partially to an especially competitive points-hunting technique), the pronouncements from Workforce UAE Emirates that they had been 2023’s best staff are, indisputably, false.
    • As an alternative, Jumbo-Visma, who had the most productive season from any staff (no less than one who I may to find) within the historical past of the game by way of profitable each grand excursion and main the season in overall wins, takes the crown.

    tdf23st9
    UAE had their best possible season ever

    2) UAE as soon as once more did not win the Excursion de France and struggled to appear to be a cohesive staff all the way through massive portions of the season, however produced their best possible season ever

    • Completing atop the 2023 UCI standings confirms simply how a ways the staff has come since being a one-man band with Tadej Pogačar as its chief, and is much more spectacular bearing in mind they bested Jumbo-Visma all over a season when it gained all 3 grand excursions, and finished a podium sweep on the Vuelta a España.
      • This accomplishment, out of doors in their season-long solution to maximize the selection of UCI facets they may accumulate (i.e. sending proficient and are compatible squads to the entire late-season Italian races), is a testomony to the staff’s spectacular recruitment during the last few years, which has observed them accumulate cast veterans like Adam Yates, in addition to high-production kids like João Almeida, Brandon McNulty, and Marc Hirschi.
        • Whilst they don’t at all times do the most productive task of racing as a staff, particularly when Pogačar isn’t provide, UAE does a perfect task of discovering proficient riders, getting them within the door, and giving them the liberty to provide particular person effects (even supposing it doesn’t at all times produce the most productive staff performances).

    tdf23 st15
    Lidl-Trek overperformed

    3) The overperformers have paintings to do within the switch marketplace

    • At the back of the herculean feats of the Galácticos, the modestly funded Lidl-Trek, and Lotto-Dtsy groups impressively outperformed their pre-season BTP NET Score. For the reason that score objectively measures their ability, outperforming it by way of 9 and 6 spots is extremely spectacular.
      • It must be famous that now not all out-performances are created equivalent. Whilst Lotto-Dtsy racked up a fantastic quantity of UCI facets at lower-level races, with handiest two in their 21 wins coming from WorldTour occasions, Trek were given a excellent chew in their facets by way of going head-to-head with the game’s best possible riders on the greatest races, racking up 8 WorldTour wins in 2023 with their 3 stars (Mads Pedersen, Giulio Ciccone and Mattias Skjelmose).
    • Whilst now not on the similar point, Jayco-Alula and Israel-Premier Tech put in combination cast seasons because of having young-and-coming riders like Filippo Zana (Jayco) and Derek Gee (IPT) a great deal surpass their expectancies.
    • Apparently, Astana can have suffered via a coarse season, completing ultimate within the WorldTour and in the back of two second-division groups, however they in reality outperformed their BTP NET Rankings by way of two spots.
    • Whilst those out-performances are nice for those groups, Intermarché-Wanty, who outperformed their 2022 projection by way of a whopping ten spots within the ultimate 2022 UCI scores ahead of falling back off to earth in 2023, confirmed that even probably the most plucky groups will inevitably revert to the imply in the event that they don’t improve their squad within the low season.

    vuelta23 st21
    Bora-Hansgrohe underperformed

    4) Bora’s underperformance will have influenced their determination to spend large on Primož Roglič

    • Astana can have taken the name because the worst first-division staff, however digging deeper, Bora-Hansgrohe, TotalEnergies, and Arkea-Samsic all had a lot worse seasons relative to their roster expectancies.
      • Bora’s struggles are probably the most fascinating case learn about since, in spite of carrying a robust roster and a cast backroom construction, they underperformed because of having no riders in a position to high-volume facets scoring.
        • Whilst Bora has a large number of high-ceiling proficient riders like Aleksander Vlasov, Jai Hindley, Lennard Kämna, and Cian Uijtdebroeks, they all fight to get a excessive quantity of wins at a constant fee.
          • As an example, Jumbo had six riders rating extra facets than Bora’s best performer (Vlasov), UAE had 4, or even Lidl-Trek had 3.
        • This ‘lacking chief’ factor is among the primary causes the setup felt pressured to take a position this kind of large quantity to lately achieve Primož Roglič’s vastly pricey contract from Jumbo (rumored to be a €3 million buyout price and €6 million according to yr wage).

    lombardia 2023
    A brand new get started and some huge cash for Primoz Roglič

    After breaking down the 2024 Excursion de France course, I can be coming into the standard BTP low season content material of digging deeper into staff effects and traits from the 2023 season in additional intensity, restarting the Weekly Switch Research, appearing my annual State of the Country evaluation on American citizens within the WorldTour and making an attempt to undertaking 2024 performances with my BTP NET sequence after the rosters are set in January. The most important observe is if you need get right of entry to to each submit, you will have to be a paying BTP subscriber.

    giro23 st18
    Jayco-AlUla had been cast in 2023

    # Spencer Martin is the creator of the cycling-analysis e-newsletter Past the Peloton that breaks down the nuances of every race and solutions large image questions surrounding staff and rider efficiency. Join now to get complete get right of entry to to the entire to be had content material and race breakdowns. #


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